I CAN ENVISAGE an international power struggle breaking out at the top of the game of Rugby Union, following the success of part one of the inaugural Nations Championship, which concluded over the weekend.
This first half of the first version of this new competition has been good for Scotland; “away” wins over Argentina and Fiji – albeit the win over the Pacific Islanders was achieved at Murrayfield and an encouraging loss to South Africa in Pretoria has left us second, behind France, in the Northern Hemisphere pool.
In Part two of the event, in November, we will entertain New Zealand, Australia and Japan, before all 12 participating nations come together for Finals Weekend in London at the end of that month.
Over the three weeks of games which have just concluded, there have been some terrific games: The All Blacks v France on the first weekend; our clash with South Africa in Pretoria in week two and our clash with Fiji on Saturday, all these games stood out, but, there were other crackers as well.
My reason for contemplating a power struggle is this: the Nations Chamionship is NOT a World Rugby event; certainly World Rugby has sanctioned it, but, it is run by a combination of the Northern Hemisphere's Six Nations and the Southern Hemisphere's Rugby Championship.
However, should part two, In November, be as successful as part one has been and should it attract big crowds then, you can bet your bottom dollar, World Rugby will want to be more involved moving ahead.
That could be a problem. If they do stick their noses in, it will perhaps be to down-play the tournament, since, they will still want their World Cup – only held every four years remember – to be bigger than this annual event. That could cause friction.
THE NEW COMPETITION also brings new problems for the Scottish Rugby Union, principally that of player burn-out. Received wisdom in the game today has it that asking a player to play more than 30 games in a season is asking a bit much.
Take Sione Tuipulotu as a test case. He is Scotland Captain so he is likely to be, if fit, involved in every international. If the Summer Tour games and the Autumn Tests were still “friendlies” then he could, in theory, be stood down for a couple; however, with the introduction of the Nations Championship, these are now significant games. Therefore, the likes of Sione will be involved in all 12 internationals in a year: the 5 Six Nations games, the 6 normal Nations Championship games, plus the final placement game on Finals Weekend.
That level of involvement leaves him only available to his club for 18 fixtures. Glasgow's regular United Rugby Championship season consists of 18 fixtures. However, if, as has become their want, Warriors qualify for the knock-out phase of the league, that means an additional 2 or 3 games. Then there are the European games to factor-in – a minimum of 4, a maximum of 8 additional games.
So, should Warriors have a dream season and reach both the Champions Cup and the URC finals, their top players such as Sione would be facing, in-theory, a 29 game season, before they have played a single international.
The SRU is consciously working towards a system whereby Edinburgh and Glasgow have squads which are almost entirely Scottish – the players from these two squads will form the basis and bulk of the international squad. The Murrayfield Junta as I like to refer to them, are well aware, the SRU cannot afford to compete with the big French clubs and the financially-stupid English clubs for the top talent.
A future Finn Russell will be unlikely to persuade the SRU to pay him £1 million per year – I would not like to be the CEO or Treasurer attempting to justify the Union paying that much to a player – so, the Union will always be likely to need to accept, the SRU will lose control over some of our top talents. The pressure is now on the Union to be able to keep most of their top talents and provide a package which might persuade these players to forego big money in England or France, because they are better looked after in Scotland than there.
The Fiji game showed, we have not yet got the balance right in how we handle and integrate into the international team, our journeymen or second line players. If we are to get this right, so we can see-off the lower tier one and upper tier two international sides, we need to review our selection and player development policies. We have to think smarter.
I was not surprised that we struggled in the first half on Saturday. However, I always felt we would pull clear in the fourth quarter. We canot leave players idle, training yes, but not playing, for weeks on end, then expect a top-class performance when they are fielded.
Again, we have to be a lot smarter than we have been.
Still, while we are only at half-time in this inaugural National Championship, being ranked second in the Northern Hemisphere is a nice place to be. The difficult part will be maintaining, or even getting to Number One, via the three November tests. That is the challenge facing us, I'd like to think we were up to it.